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« James Turk: Comex Casino Lies & Silver Skyrocketing To New All-Time High | Main | Shocking Charts Show Silver Set For A Staggering $70 Surge »
Sunday
Apr132014

Silver Price Forecast 2014: Silver’s Ultimate Rally When Paper Assets Collapse

The relationship between the Dow and silver has been very consistent over the last 100 years. After each of the major Dow peaks (real, not necessarily nominal peaks), we eventually had major bottom in silver. Above, is a 100-year inflation-adjusted Dow chart:

In September 1929, the Dow peaked in terms of US dollars as well as in terms of gold ounces (real terms). After about 1 year and 4 months, silver made a significant bottom. While the Dow continues to fall for most of the time, silver rallied until it peaked in January of 1935. At silver’s peak, the Dow was about 30% lower in real terms than what it was at silver’s bottom.

Again, in January 1966, the Dow peaked in real terms. After about 5 years and 10 months, silver made a significant bottom. While the Dow continued to fall for most of the time, silver rallied until it peaked in January of 1980. At silver’s peak, the Dow was about 55% lower than it was at silver’s bottom.

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The miners have started 2014 very well indeed on the back of rising gold prices, so the question is; is this the real deal or another head fake? Is the bottom really in? Could there be a final capitulation just ahead of us? Will the summer doldrums take the PMs lower?

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